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From the Rental Desk of Harvey W James

The London Rent Review

reading the market, month by month
No. 03  ·  August 2026  ·  Volume I
What happened. What it means. What we’d do.
Edition covers the ONS release of 19 August 2026Data to July 2026Source: ONS Price Index of Private Rents
Published 25 August 2026 · signed by Harvey W James
EditionsAugust 2026(reading)July 2026June 2026
ARCHIVED EDITION — No. 03, August 2026 release (data to July 2026). The figures below have since been superseded. Read the current London Rent Review →
JAN1.1% FEB1.7% MAR1.7% APR2.0% MAY2.0% JUN2.2%No. 01 → JUL3.0%No. 02 → AUGedition 03 SEP16th OCT· NOV· DEC· 2026 · Year in Review → Jan 2027
The Print — what the numbers say
London is no longer England’s slowest market.
£2,317
Average London private rent · July 2026
+3.0%
Annual change — the second-lowest of the nine English regions
+0.63%
Month on month — the largest since February
For comparison, rents rose 3.8% across England and 3.7% across the UK over the same year. London — at £2,317, some 60% above the England average of £1,451 — is the anchor holding the national figure down, not a market running hot.

Annual rent inflation by English region — year to July 2026

North East
6.3%£783
North West
5.7%£965
Yorkshire and The Humber
5.0%£864
West Midlands
4.5%£974
South West
4.5%£1,236
East of England
3.7%£1,285
East Midlands
3.6%£918
London
3.0%£2,317
South East
2.9%£1,419
London is the second-lowest of the nine English regions on inflation, and still tops the table on price. Source: ONS Price Index of Private Rents, released 19 August 2026. Figures reproduced under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

London’s year so far — annual inflation, each month of 2026

1.1%
Jan
£2,253
1.7%
Feb
£2,273
1.7%
Mar
£2,280
2.0%
Apr
£2,290
2.0%
May
£2,294
2.2%
Jun
£2,302
3.0%
Jul
£2,317
Annual inflation ran from 1.1% in Jan to 3.0% in Jul. Column labels show the average rent that month. Source: ONS PIPR.
The Desk’s Read — what it means

London rents rose 3.0% in the year to July 2026, up from 2.2% at the last print. That is the biggest one-month step of the year, and the fastest London has run in 2026 — it was 1.1% in January. It also ends a run: in the first two editions of this Review, London was the slowest-rising region in England. That place now belongs to the South East, at 2.9%. London still sits below England’s 3.8%, but it has stopped being the number holding the national figure down.

The boroughs kept converging. Camden has crossed back over zero: −0.5% last month, +0.5% now, after three consecutive monthly rises. Newham fell again, 4.2% to 2.8% — 2.4 points off in two prints, with July’s monthly reading turning marginally negative. Greenwich firmed to 5.6% and is the only one of our four still above 5%. Tower Hamlets, at 3.0%, is the London average. The gap between our fastest and slowest borough narrowed again, from 5.5 points to 5.1.

Last month we wrote that the two Londons were converging. They still are — but upward, not toward the middle. Camden is rising, Newham is slowing toward the average, and the average has moved up underneath both of them. That is the part a valuation has to catch. A renewal priced off June’s 2.2% is working from a market that has since moved 0.8 points. A Newham renewal still priced off the spring’s 5.2% is 2.4 points heavy. We price off the borough and the bedroom, never off the regional headline.

For two editions London was the slowest-rising market in England. This print ends that.

The spread the average hides — annual change by borough, year to July 2026

Greenwich
+5.6%£1,980
Tower Hamlets
+3.0%£2,439
Newham
+2.8%£1,927
Camden
+0.5%£2,800
The same month, four boroughs, a 5.1-point gap. Source: ONS PIPR, borough-level series.
The boroughs we workAverageAnnual1 bed2 bed3 bed
Greenwich£1,980+5.6%£1,551£1,918£2,225
Tower Hamlets£2,439+3.0%£1,981£2,404£2,733
Newham£1,927+2.8%£1,630£1,992£2,210
Camden£2,800+0.5%£2,040£2,603£3,035
Four boroughs this edition — the patch we manage most closely. We widen the list as our own ledger deepens in a borough. For reference, a London one-bed averages £1,752, a two-bed £2,218, a three-bed £2,623.
What we’d tell a landlord this month

If your property is in inner, prime London, the correction is over: Camden has risen three months running and its annual rate is positive again. A renewal figure cut to match last winter’s Camden is now below the market. If it’s in an outer regeneration borough, the opposite discipline applies — Newham has come off 2.4 points in two prints and is no longer the 5% market it was in the spring, while Greenwich at 5.6% still is. Two outer east boroughs, 2.8 points apart. In both cases the bedroom count matters as much as the postcode. Bring us the address and we’ll price the property, not the region.

The Three Clocks — how we read the market
No single source tells you where rents are now. We read three, each on a different delay.

The ONS print

Confirmed · lagging

The official record, from settled tenancies. Authoritative, but roughly six weeks behind the street. Everything above comes from here.

Asking rents

Near-term · noisier

Where new listings are being pitched today. Weeks ahead of the ONS, but a wish, not a deal. We read it as a direction, not a level.

Our own ledger

Live · right now

What our own applicants and lets are doing this week — time-to-let, offers against asking, demand per viewing. Ours alone. Read in at sign-off.

This month, July 2026’s monthly rise of 0.63% annualises to about 7.8%. That is roughly two and a half times the 3.0% annual rate, and the sixth consecutive monthly rise. The recent months are running well ahead of the year they sit inside — which is what pulled the annual rate up 0.8 points in a single print. The live ledger read for this edition is attached when Harvey signs it off.
The Call — what we think happens next
For the 16 September release (August data), we expect London annual inflation to print in the 2.9–3.5% band. We widened it deliberately: last month we called 2.1–2.6% and the print came in at 3.0%, above our range. The direction was right and the range was too tight, so this one is wider. Momentum supports it — six consecutive monthly rises, and a monthly pace annualising to 7.8%. What would prove us wrong is Newham: it has shed 2.4 points in two prints and its monthly reading has turned marginally negative. If that cooling spreads across outer east London, the headline rolls over instead of climbing.
Call made 24 Aug 2026 Marked against 16 Sep 2026 Basis: ONS PIPR + our ledger
A call in writing, dated, with its caveat. Next month it gets stamped — and the stamp stays on the page whichever way it goes.
The Scorecard — our record, kept in public
HELD ✓MISSED ×
EditionThe callResultAgainst the print
No. 02 · July 2026 releaseLondon annual rent inflation prints in the 2.1–2.6% band at the 19 August print (July data), with the risk to the upside.MISSEDPrinted 3.0% — 0.4 points above the top of our band. We had the direction right and the range too tight: we flagged the risk as upside, and the upside is what happened. The falsifier we named did not fire — we said a Camden roll-over would prove us wrong, and Camden did the opposite, crossing back above zero. What beat us was pace, not direction. The band widens this month.
No. 01 · June 2026 releaseLondon annual rent inflation holds in the 1.9–2.3% band at the 22 July print (June data).HELDPrinted 2.2% — inside the band, at the top of it. The band held; our stated risk skew did not. We flagged the risk as being to the downside, from Camden’s fall spreading into neighbouring prime. Camden did the opposite and rebounded to −0.5%.
For the Record — sources, method, how to cite

Sources & method

  • All figures: ONS Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) — the successor to the Index of Private Housing Rental Prices, an official statistic since 20 May 2026.
  • Release covered: 19 August 2026. Reference period: data to July 2026. Next release: 16 September 2026.
  • Geography: national to local-authority level; borough figures are the ONS series for each named London borough.
  • Method: ONS estimates rents by hedonic double-imputation across the private rental stock. We report its figures and add our reading; we do not compute an index of our own.
  • Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

↓ Download the clean London series (CSV)  ·  ONS bulletin ↗

Previous editions — each kept at its own permanent URL, unaltered after sign-off:
No. 02 · July 2026 release — data to June 2026
No. 01 · June 2026 release — data to May 2026

Cite this page

For analysts, valuers and students — cite as:

Harvey W James (2026) The London Rent Review, No. 03, August 2026 release. Analysis of ONS Price Index of Private Rents (data to July 2026). harveywjames.com/london-rent-review

A permanent, dated edition. It will not be altered after sign-off except by a logged correction.

Harvey W James
Read & signed · 25 August 2026 · against the ONS PIPR release of 19 August 2026