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From the Rental Desk of Harvey W James

The London Rent Review

reading the market, month by month
No. 01  ·  June 2026  ·  Volume I
What happened. What it means. What we’d do.
Edition covers the ONS release of 17 June 2026 Data to May 2026 Source: ONS Price Index of Private Rents
Published 5 July 2026 · signed by Harvey W James
JAN1.1% FEB1.7% MAR1.7% APR2.0% MAY2.0% JUNedition 01 JUL22nd AUG· SEP· OCT· NOV· DEC· 2026 · Year in Review → Jan 2027
The Print — what the numbers say
London is the least inflationary rental market in England.
£2,294
Average London private rent · May 2026
+2.0%
Annual change — the lowest of all nine English regions
+0.17%
Month on month — the softest monthly rise of 2026
For comparison, rents rose 3.4% across England and 3.3% across the UK over the same year. London — at £2,294, some 59% above the England average of £1,442 — is the anchor holding the national figure down, not a market running hot.

Annual rent inflation by English region — year to May 2026

North East
5.9%£776
North West
5.4%£954
South West
5.1%£1,234
Yorkshire and The Humber
4.5%£856
West Midlands
4.2%£966
East Midlands
3.7%£914
East of England
3.6%£1,280
South East
2.9%£1,418
London
2.0%£2,294
London sits at the foot of the table on inflation while topping it on price. Source: ONS Price Index of Private Rents, released 17 June 2026. Figures reproduced under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

London’s year so far — annual inflation, each month of 2026

1.1%
Jan
£2,253
1.7%
Feb
£2,273
1.7%
Mar
£2,280
2.0%
Apr
£2,290
2.0%
May
£2,294
Annual inflation drifted up from 1.1% in January to 2.0% in May, then flattened. Column labels show the average rent that month. Source: ONS PIPR.
The Desk’s Read — what it means

The headline is that London rents rose 2.0% in the year to May 2026 — the slowest of any English region, and well below the 3.4% recorded across England. Read on its own, that number tells a landlord the London market has stalled. It has not. It has split.

Underneath one average of 2.0% sits a spread of more than 7 points. One London is cooling; another is still climbing.

Across the boroughs we work, Camden rents fell 2.2% over the year — the only one to go backwards. Newham rose 5.2%, Greenwich 4.4%. An inner, higher-priced London has come off the boil; an outer, regeneration-led London has not.

This is the number that matters for a valuation. “London +2%” is an average of a fall and a surge, and almost no individual property sits at the average. A Camden flat renewed at last year’s figure may now sit above its market; a Newham flat priced off last year’s figure may be leaving money on the table. We price off the borough and the bedroom, never off the regional headline.

The spread the average hides — annual change by borough, year to May 2026

Newham
+5.2%£1,923
Greenwich
+4.4%£1,952
Tower Hamlets
+2.4%£2,419
Camden
-2.2%£2,759
The same month, four boroughs, a 7.5-point gap. Source: ONS PIPR, borough-level series.
The boroughs we workAverageAnnual1 bed2 bed3 bed
Newham £1,923 +5.2% £1,626 £1,988 £2,202
Greenwich £1,952 +4.4% £1,529 £1,891 £2,192
Tower Hamlets £2,419 +2.4% £1,964 £2,385 £2,709
Camden £2,759 -2.2% £2,008 £2,563 £2,989
Four boroughs this edition; we add the rest of the patch we manage each month. For reference, a London one-bed averages £1,733, a two-bed £2,196, a three-bed £2,596.
What we’d tell a landlord this month

If your property is in inner, prime London, test the renewal figure before you assume last year’s rent still holds — the top of the market has softened. If it’s in an outer regeneration borough, the market has moved up around you and a review may be overdue. In every case the bedroom count matters as much as the postcode. Bring us the address and we’ll price the property, not the region.

The Three Clocks — how we read the market
No single source tells you where rents are now. We read three, each on a different delay.

The ONS print

Confirmed · lagging

The official record, from settled tenancies. Authoritative, but roughly six weeks behind the street. Everything above comes from here.

Asking rents

Near-term · noisier

Where new listings are being pitched today. Weeks ahead of the ONS, but a wish, not a deal. We read it as a direction, not a level.

Our own ledger

Live · right now

What our own applicants and lets are doing this week — time-to-let, offers against asking, demand per viewing. Ours alone. Read in at sign-off.

This month the three broadly agree. May’s monthly rise of 0.17% annualises to about 2.1% — in line with the 2.0% annual figure, so momentum is neither breaking down nor re-accelerating. The live ledger read for this edition is attached when Harvey signs it off.
The Call — what we think happens next
For the 22 July release (June data), we expect London annual inflation to hold in the 1.9–2.3% band. Monthly momentum is steady and we see no break in either direction yet. The risk is to the downside: if Camden’s softening spreads into neighbouring prime, the London headline eases below 2%. The inner–outer spread is the thing to watch, not the average.
Call made 5 Jul 2026 Marked against 22 Jul 2026 Basis: ONS PIPR + our ledger
A call in writing, dated, with its caveat. Next month it gets stamped — and the stamp stays on the page whichever way it goes.
The Scorecard — our record, kept in public
HELD ✓ MISSED ×
This is Edition No. 01, so there is nothing to grade yet — the scorecard starts here. From Edition 02, every call we have ever made appears in this section, stamped HELD or MISSED against the ONS print that followed it, with a running record. A scorecard that shows only its wins is marketing. We keep the misses on the page.
For the Record — sources, method, how to cite

Sources & method

  • All figures: ONS Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) — the successor to the Index of Private Housing Rental Prices, an official statistic since 20 May 2026.
  • Release covered: 17 June 2026. Reference period: data to May 2026. Next release: 22 July 2026.
  • Geography: national to local-authority level; borough figures are the ONS series for each named London borough.
  • Method: ONS estimates rents by hedonic double-imputation across the private rental stock. We report its figures and add our reading; we do not compute an index of our own.
  • Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

↓ Download the clean London series (CSV)  ·  ONS bulletin ↗

Cite this page

For analysts, valuers and students — cite as:

Harvey W James (2026) The London Rent Review, No. 01, June 2026 release. Analysis of ONS Price Index of Private Rents (data to May 2026). harveywjames.com/london-rent-review

A permanent, dated edition. It will not be altered after sign-off except by a logged correction.

Harvey W James
Read & signed · 5 July 2026 · against the ONS PIPR release of 17 June 2026